Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing strong advection while allowing modest radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble models show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and typical early-summer humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June lows around 18–20°C, explaining the market’s concentration on the 18°C and 19°C bins. Final model updates before dawn will refine any subtle influences from urban heat islands or shifting wind directions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 15 de junio?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.3%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
48%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.3%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
48%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing strong advection while allowing modest radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble models show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and typical early-summer humidity levels that moderate extremes. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June lows around 18–20°C, explaining the market’s concentration on the 18°C and 19°C bins. Final model updates before dawn will refine any subtle influences from urban heat islands or shifting wind directions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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