Latest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 16 will likely settle at 22–23°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines of 20–23°C rather than allowing deeper drops. Steadily rising regional temperatures and light easterly flow add modest warmth, while model consensus shows limited divergence ahead of resolution. Final official station readings will determine the exact value amid typical early-summer variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de junio?
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 13%
21°C 4.0%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 13%
21°C 4.0%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 16 will likely settle at 22–23°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines of 20–23°C rather than allowing deeper drops. Steadily rising regional temperatures and light easterly flow add modest warmth, while model consensus shows limited divergence ahead of resolution. Final official station readings will determine the exact value amid typical early-summer variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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