Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on June 10 project overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under mild southerly flow, light winds, and limited radiational cooling, with model consensus centering near 68–70°F. These conditions align with early-June climatology, where average minimums hover around 62–65°F but current patterns lack the clear skies or northerly advection needed for sharper drops. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins because any modest deviation in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the actual minimum by 1–2°F, while colder outcomes below 66°F remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 10 de junio?
70-71°F 35%
66-67°F 14%
64-65°F 5%
59°F o menos <1%
$13,476 Vol.
$13,476 Vol.
59°F o menos
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o más
<1%
70-71°F 35%
66-67°F 14%
64-65°F 5%
59°F o menos <1%
$13,476 Vol.
$13,476 Vol.
59°F o menos
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on June 10 project overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s under mild southerly flow, light winds, and limited radiational cooling, with model consensus centering near 68–70°F. These conditions align with early-June climatology, where average minimums hover around 62–65°F but current patterns lack the clear skies or northerly advection needed for sharper drops. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins because any modest deviation in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the actual minimum by 1–2°F, while colder outcomes below 66°F remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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