**Temporary national-defense waivers amid the Iran conflict have eased specific energy and fertilizer shipments without altering the Jones Act's core statutory requirements.** The 1920 law's U.S.-build, ownership, and crewing mandates remain fully in force after the March 17, 2026, 60-day waiver and its 90-day extension through mid-August. No legislation or executive action signals permanent repeal or broad suspension by the June 30 deadline. Maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and congressional stakeholders continue to defend the statute's protective framework, creating high barriers to structural change. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this entrenched consensus, though tail risks such as an acute supply disruption prompting an expanded waiver or last-minute rider legislation cannot be entirely dismissed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$52,905 Vol.
$52,905 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$52,905 Vol.
$52,905 Vol.
30 jun 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Temporary national-defense waivers amid the Iran conflict have eased specific energy and fertilizer shipments without altering the Jones Act's core statutory requirements.** The 1920 law's U.S.-build, ownership, and crewing mandates remain fully in force after the March 17, 2026, 60-day waiver and its 90-day extension through mid-August. No legislation or executive action signals permanent repeal or broad suspension by the June 30 deadline. Maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and congressional stakeholders continue to defend the statute's protective framework, creating high barriers to structural change. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this entrenched consensus, though tail risks such as an acute supply disruption prompting an expanded waiver or last-minute rider legislation cannot be entirely dismissed.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volumen
$52,905Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Temporary national-defense waivers amid the Iran conflict have eased specific energy and fertilizer shipments without altering the Jones Act's core statutory requirements.** The 1920 law's U.S.-build, ownership, and crewing mandates remain fully in force after the March 17, 2026, 60-day waiver and its 90-day extension through mid-August. No legislation or executive action signals permanent repeal or broad suspension by the June 30 deadline. Maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and congressional stakeholders continue to defend the statute's protective framework, creating high barriers to structural change. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this entrenched consensus, though tail risks such as an acute supply disruption prompting an expanded waiver or last-minute rider legislation cannot be entirely dismissed.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,905Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Temporary national-defense waivers amid the Iran conflict have eased specific energy and fertilizer shipments without altering the Jones Act's core statutory requirements.** The 1920 law's U.S.-build, ownership, and crewing mandates remain fully in force after the March 17, 2026, 60-day waiver and its 90-day extension through mid-August. No legislation or executive action signals permanent repeal or broad suspension by the June 30 deadline. Maritime unions, domestic shipbuilders, and congressional stakeholders continue to defend the statute's protective framework, creating high barriers to structural change. Market-implied odds above 98% reflect this entrenched consensus, though tail risks such as an acute supply disruption prompting an expanded waiver or last-minute rider legislation cannot be entirely dismissed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes