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icon for ¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?

¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?

¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?

1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$52,921 Vol.

1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$52,921 Vol.

The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Strong institutional barriers and recent temporary waivers explain the 98.9% market-implied probability that Jones Act requirements will not be removed by June 30, 2026.** The Merchant Marine Act of 1920 mandates U.S.-built, owned, flagged, and crewed vessels for domestic coastal shipping, shielding maritime unions, shipbuilders, and protected carriers from foreign competition while elevating transport costs for energy, fertilizer, and other commodities. In March 2026, the Trump administration issued a limited 60-day national-defense waiver under 46 U.S.C. § 501(a) amid Iran-related supply disruptions and fuel-price spikes; this was later extended 90 days through mid-August, permitting foreign-flag vessels for specific energy and agricultural shipments without altering the statute’s core mandates. No legislation, executive order, or regulatory filing signals permanent repeal, broad suspension, or structural reform before the June 30 deadline. Entrenched stakeholder opposition and the absence of congressional momentum reinforce trader consensus that the status quo will hold, consistent with historical precedent of only narrow, time-bound waivers. Tail risks remain low but include an unforeseen acute supply shock—such as intensified geopolitical disruption—prompting an expanded waiver or a last-minute legislative rider. With resolution imminent and no new catalysts evident, market-implied odds above 98% capture the high barriers to meaningful change within the narrow remaining window.

The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.

New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,921
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Strong institutional barriers and recent temporary waivers explain the 98.9% market-implied probability that Jones Act requirements will not be removed by June 30, 2026.** The Merchant Marine Act of 1920 mandates U.S.-built, owned, flagged, and crewed vessels for domestic coastal shipping, shielding maritime unions, shipbuilders, and protected carriers from foreign competition while elevating transport costs for energy, fertilizer, and other commodities. In March 2026, the Trump administration issued a limited 60-day national-defense waiver under 46 U.S.C. § 501(a) amid Iran-related supply disruptions and fuel-price spikes; this was later extended 90 days through mid-August, permitting foreign-flag vessels for specific energy and agricultural shipments without altering the statute’s core mandates. No legislation, executive order, or regulatory filing signals permanent repeal, broad suspension, or structural reform before the June 30 deadline. Entrenched stakeholder opposition and the absence of congressional momentum reinforce trader consensus that the status quo will hold, consistent with historical precedent of only narrow, time-bound waivers. Tail risks remain low but include an unforeseen acute supply shock—such as intensified geopolitical disruption—prompting an expanded waiver or a last-minute legislative rider. With resolution imminent and no new catalysts evident, market-implied odds above 98% capture the high barriers to meaningful change within the narrow remaining window.

The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.

New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,921
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count. New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se eliminarán los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $52.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Se eliminarán los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se eliminaron los requisitos de envío nacional de la Ley Jones antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.