Recent U.S. data show inflation remaining elevated while the labor market holds steady, with the May unemployment rate at 4.3% and payrolls continuing to expand. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first, is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged amid this backdrop, with markets assigning roughly 96% probability to no move. Trader consensus for zero dissents at 67% reflects broad agreement on holding rates steady and removing the prior easing bias in favor of a neutral stance, though some participants have signaled preference for firmer language. Recent precedent of three dissents at the April meeting over statement wording and hawkish comments from governors such as Christopher Waller have introduced modest uncertainty around the exact vote split, keeping smaller probabilities for one or two dissents priced in.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 67%
1 18%
2 8%
3 3.5%
$33,393 Vol.
$33,393 Vol.
17 jun 2026
0
67%
1
18%
2
8%
3
4%
4+
<1%
0 67%
1 18%
2 8%
3 3.5%
$33,393 Vol.
$33,393 Vol.
17 jun 2026
0
$17,441 Vol.
67%
1
$1,374 Vol.
18%
2
$615 Vol.
8%
3
$2,202 Vol.
4%
4+
$11,763 Vol.
<1%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent U.S. data show inflation remaining elevated while the labor market holds steady, with the May unemployment rate at 4.3% and payrolls continuing to expand. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first, is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged amid this backdrop, with markets assigning roughly 96% probability to no move. Trader consensus for zero dissents at 67% reflects broad agreement on holding rates steady and removing the prior easing bias in favor of a neutral stance, though some participants have signaled preference for firmer language. Recent precedent of three dissents at the April meeting over statement wording and hawkish comments from governors such as Christopher Waller have introduced modest uncertainty around the exact vote split, keeping smaller probabilities for one or two dissents priced in.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volumen
$33,393Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent U.S. data show inflation remaining elevated while the labor market holds steady, with the May unemployment rate at 4.3% and payrolls continuing to expand. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first, is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged amid this backdrop, with markets assigning roughly 96% probability to no move. Trader consensus for zero dissents at 67% reflects broad agreement on holding rates steady and removing the prior easing bias in favor of a neutral stance, though some participants have signaled preference for firmer language. Recent precedent of three dissents at the April meeting over statement wording and hawkish comments from governors such as Christopher Waller have introduced modest uncertainty around the exact vote split, keeping smaller probabilities for one or two dissents priced in.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$33,393Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. data show inflation remaining elevated while the labor market holds steady, with the May unemployment rate at 4.3% and payrolls continuing to expand. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first, is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged amid this backdrop, with markets assigning roughly 96% probability to no move. Trader consensus for zero dissents at 67% reflects broad agreement on holding rates steady and removing the prior easing bias in favor of a neutral stance, though some participants have signaled preference for firmer language. Recent precedent of three dissents at the April meeting over statement wording and hawkish comments from governors such as Christopher Waller have introduced modest uncertainty around the exact vote split, keeping smaller probabilities for one or two dissents priced in.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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