Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge influencing eastern Japan, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that support daytime heating near 21–22°C for Tokyo on June 15. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from Tokyo Bay, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while higher or lower results would require stronger advection or persistent cloud cover not currently favored. Model runs show low spread overall, yet small timing shifts in any frontal passage or insolation changes can alter the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders are monitoring the next JMA guidance and updated ensemble members for refinements before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
21°C 41%
22°C 39%
23°C 16%
24°C 1.6%
NUEVO
$31,974 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,974 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
41%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 39%
23°C 16%
24°C 1.6%
NUEVO
$31,974 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,974 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,760 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,276 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,739 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,337 Vol.
41%
22°C
$1,458 Vol.
39%
23°C
$1,062 Vol.
16%
24°C
$2,438 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,180 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,437 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$4,620 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge influencing eastern Japan, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that support daytime heating near 21–22°C for Tokyo on June 15. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from Tokyo Bay, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while higher or lower results would require stronger advection or persistent cloud cover not currently favored. Model runs show low spread overall, yet small timing shifts in any frontal passage or insolation changes can alter the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders are monitoring the next JMA guidance and updated ensemble members for refinements before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$31,974Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge influencing eastern Japan, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that support daytime heating near 21–22°C for Tokyo on June 15. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from Tokyo Bay, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while higher or lower results would require stronger advection or persistent cloud cover not currently favored. Model runs show low spread overall, yet small timing shifts in any frontal passage or insolation changes can alter the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders are monitoring the next JMA guidance and updated ensemble members for refinements before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,974Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a modest subtropical ridge influencing eastern Japan, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions that support daytime heating near 21–22°C for Tokyo on June 15. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing from Tokyo Bay, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while higher or lower results would require stronger advection or persistent cloud cover not currently favored. Model runs show low spread overall, yet small timing shifts in any frontal passage or insolation changes can alter the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders are monitoring the next JMA guidance and updated ensemble members for refinements before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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