Trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C for Shanghai’s June 16 maximum reflects the moderating effects of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) period, with current forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and easterly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27°C, yet recent model runs indicate potential for slightly cooler outcomes if rainfall arrives earlier or proves heavier than baseline expectations. Key variables include exact timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in overcast conditions that could allow brief warming. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
26°C 35%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
17%
26°C
35%
27°C
32%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$731 Vol.
2%
24°C
$382 Vol.
9%
25°C
$515 Vol.
17%
26°C
$408 Vol.
35%
27°C
$538 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,652 Vol.
6%
29°C
$875 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$677 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C for Shanghai’s June 16 maximum reflects the moderating effects of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) period, with current forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and easterly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27°C, yet recent model runs indicate potential for slightly cooler outcomes if rainfall arrives earlier or proves heavier than baseline expectations. Key variables include exact timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in overcast conditions that could allow brief warming. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$6,519Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C for Shanghai’s June 16 maximum reflects the moderating effects of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) period, with current forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and easterly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27°C, yet recent model runs indicate potential for slightly cooler outcomes if rainfall arrives earlier or proves heavier than baseline expectations. Key variables include exact timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in overcast conditions that could allow brief warming. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,519Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C for Shanghai’s June 16 maximum reflects the moderating effects of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) period, with current forecast models showing persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and easterly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27°C, yet recent model runs indicate potential for slightly cooler outcomes if rainfall arrives earlier or proves heavier than baseline expectations. Key variables include exact timing of convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and any brief breaks in overcast conditions that could allow brief warming. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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