Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France on June 16, supporting surface temperatures peaking near 28–29 °C at Paris-Montsouris, with limited diurnal mixing and light northerly flow. Recent model runs show small spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds while trimming probabilities for 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places the long-term average maximum around 23 °C, so this episode reflects above-normal warmth from persistent subtropical air advection, though any late-day convective development could cap the reading slightly lower. Updated guidance from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
28°C 33%
29°C 31%
27°C 15.2%
30°C 14%
NUEVO
$10,373 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,373 Vol.
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
33%
29°C
31%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 31%
27°C 15.2%
30°C 14%
NUEVO
$10,373 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,373 Vol.
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
$255 Vol.
1%
26°C
$975 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,484 Vol.
15%
28°C
$1,134 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,124 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,469 Vol.
14%
31°C
$1,595 Vol.
3%
32°C
$868 Vol.
1%
33°C
$701 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$504 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$335 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France on June 16, supporting surface temperatures peaking near 28–29 °C at Paris-Montsouris, with limited diurnal mixing and light northerly flow. Recent model runs show small spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds while trimming probabilities for 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places the long-term average maximum around 23 °C, so this episode reflects above-normal warmth from persistent subtropical air advection, though any late-day convective development could cap the reading slightly lower. Updated guidance from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$10,373Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France on June 16, supporting surface temperatures peaking near 28–29 °C at Paris-Montsouris, with limited diurnal mixing and light northerly flow. Recent model runs show small spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds while trimming probabilities for 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places the long-term average maximum around 23 °C, so this episode reflects above-normal warmth from persistent subtropical air advection, though any late-day convective development could cap the reading slightly lower. Updated guidance from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,373Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France on June 16, supporting surface temperatures peaking near 28–29 °C at Paris-Montsouris, with limited diurnal mixing and light northerly flow. Recent model runs show small spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds while trimming probabilities for 30 °C or higher. Historical June climatology places the long-term average maximum around 23 °C, so this episode reflects above-normal warmth from persistent subtropical air advection, though any late-day convective development could cap the reading slightly lower. Updated guidance from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes