Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, position Munich's June 16 maximum near 22–23°C under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities of 42% for 22°C and 30.5% for 23°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-summer climatology for the region (historical June highs averaging 21–23°C), with current observational trends and stability indices suppressing stronger warming or significant cooling. Recent model consensus has narrowed uncertainty around these values ahead of resolution via official station data, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow brief excursions to 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
18°C or below
$574 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$227 Vol.
2%
21°C
$1,359 Vol.
8%
22°C
$576 Vol.
42%
23°C
$836 Vol.
32%
24°C
$1,692 Vol.
13%
25°C
$1,842 Vol.
3%
26°C
$673 Vol.
1%
27°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$523 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, position Munich's June 16 maximum near 22–23°C under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities of 42% for 22°C and 30.5% for 23°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-summer climatology for the region (historical June highs averaging 21–23°C), with current observational trends and stability indices suppressing stronger warming or significant cooling. Recent model consensus has narrowed uncertainty around these values ahead of resolution via official station data, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow brief excursions to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$9,226Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, position Munich's June 16 maximum near 22–23°C under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities of 42% for 22°C and 30.5% for 23°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-summer climatology for the region (historical June highs averaging 21–23°C), with current observational trends and stability indices suppressing stronger warming or significant cooling. Recent model consensus has narrowed uncertainty around these values ahead of resolution via official station data, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow brief excursions to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,226Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, position Munich's June 16 maximum near 22–23°C under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities of 42% for 22°C and 30.5% for 23°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-summer climatology for the region (historical June highs averaging 21–23°C), with current observational trends and stability indices suppressing stronger warming or significant cooling. Recent model consensus has narrowed uncertainty around these values ahead of resolution via official station data, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow brief excursions to 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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