Recent forecast consensus from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate projections points to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on June 16, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime radiative heating. This setup, typical of early-summer high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat-island effects at the reference station can shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 26–28°C provide context for the elevated readings, while any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or model revisions could pull the outcome toward 28°C or allow brief spikes to 31°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
44%
30°C
33%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
44%
30°C
33%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate projections points to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Milan on June 16, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime radiative heating. This setup, typical of early-summer high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat-island effects at the reference station can shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 26–28°C provide context for the elevated readings, while any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or model revisions could pull the outcome toward 28°C or allow brief spikes to 31°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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