Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services point to a maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 11 near the long-term June average of 24–25°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convection and cloud cover from the advancing monsoon pattern often limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light winds keep readings close to climatological norms. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies expected to push values above 26°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C, reflecting consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 11 de junio?
24°C 34%
25°C 27%
26°C 16.3%
23°C 16%
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
24°C 34%
25°C 27%
26°C 16.3%
23°C 16%
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services point to a maximum temperature in Mexico City on June 11 near the long-term June average of 24–25°C, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convection and cloud cover from the advancing monsoon pattern often limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light winds keep readings close to climatological norms. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies expected to push values above 26°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C, reflecting consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than anomalous warmth. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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