The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 12?
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
14%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 38%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
31%
34°C
38%
35°C
14%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes reflects typical early June conditions in Manila, where historical PAGASA data show average daily highs of 32–33°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms can suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or urban heat island effects in Metro Manila may allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Sea surface temperatures near normal and light to moderate winds from the southwest further modulate daytime maxima, with model consensus pointing to modest uncertainty in precipitation timing that differentiates these adjacent thresholds ahead of final observations on June 12.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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