**Trader sentiment for the June 16 highest temperature in Lucknow centers on the 37–39°C range, led by 38°C at 38% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh tempered by expectations of modest moderation from moisture incursions or isolated thundery development. Observed maxima have recently reached 43–45°C, consistent with IMD warnings of severe heatwave conditions and above-normal heatwave days projected for June 2026. However, short-range forecasts and model guidance point to daytime highs near 37–39°C for the 16th, influenced by regional steering patterns, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and potential for convective clouds that limit peak solar heating. Historical June averages for Lucknow hover near 39°C, providing climatological context, while the market aggregates real-capital assessments of uncertainty in exact resolution criteria (typically official IMD station readings). Key upcoming inputs include the next IMD morning bulletin and updated numerical weather prediction runs, which can shift probabilities rapidly if thunderstorm activity strengthens or heat advection persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 38%
37°C 23%
39°C 21%
36°C 7.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
35°C or below
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
23%
38°C
38%
39°C
21%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 38%
37°C 23%
39°C 21%
36°C 7.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
35°C or below
$624 Vol.
3%
36°C
$131 Vol.
8%
37°C
$438 Vol.
23%
38°C
$121 Vol.
38%
39°C
$332 Vol.
21%
40°C
$329 Vol.
4%
41°C
$322 Vol.
2%
42°C
$154 Vol.
1%
43°C
$235 Vol.
1%
44°C
$321 Vol.
1%
45°C or higher
$507 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 16 highest temperature in Lucknow centers on the 37–39°C range, led by 38°C at 38% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh tempered by expectations of modest moderation from moisture incursions or isolated thundery development.
Observed maxima have recently reached 43–45°C, consistent with IMD warnings of severe heatwave conditions and above-normal heatwave days projected for June 2026. However, short-range forecasts and model guidance point to daytime highs near 37–39°C for the 16th, influenced by regional steering patterns, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and potential for convective clouds that limit peak solar heating. Historical June averages for Lucknow hover near 39°C, providing climatological context, while the market aggregates real-capital assessments of uncertainty in exact resolution criteria (typically official IMD station readings).
Key upcoming inputs include the next IMD morning bulletin and updated numerical weather prediction runs, which can shift probabilities rapidly if thunderstorm activity strengthens or heat advection persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volumen
$3,509Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the June 16 highest temperature in Lucknow centers on the 37–39°C range, led by 38°C at 38% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh tempered by expectations of modest moderation from moisture incursions or isolated thundery development.
Observed maxima have recently reached 43–45°C, consistent with IMD warnings of severe heatwave conditions and above-normal heatwave days projected for June 2026. However, short-range forecasts and model guidance point to daytime highs near 37–39°C for the 16th, influenced by regional steering patterns, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and potential for convective clouds that limit peak solar heating. Historical June averages for Lucknow hover near 39°C, providing climatological context, while the market aggregates real-capital assessments of uncertainty in exact resolution criteria (typically official IMD station readings).
Key upcoming inputs include the next IMD morning bulletin and updated numerical weather prediction runs, which can shift probabilities rapidly if thunderstorm activity strengthens or heat advection persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,509Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the June 16 highest temperature in Lucknow centers on the 37–39°C range, led by 38°C at 38% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh tempered by expectations of modest moderation from moisture incursions or isolated thundery development. Observed maxima have recently reached 43–45°C, consistent with IMD warnings of severe heatwave conditions and above-normal heatwave days projected for June 2026. However, short-range forecasts and model guidance point to daytime highs near 37–39°C for the 16th, influenced by regional steering patterns, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and potential for convective clouds that limit peak solar heating. Historical June averages for Lucknow hover near 39°C, providing climatological context, while the market aggregates real-capital assessments of uncertainty in exact resolution criteria (typically official IMD station readings). Key upcoming inputs include the next IMD morning bulletin and updated numerical weather prediction runs, which can shift probabilities rapidly if thunderstorm activity strengthens or heat advection persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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