Trader consensus centers on 37–39°C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum because current model runs and India Meteorological Department guidance indicate a mix of strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies offset by possible early showers or moisture incursion that could limit peak values. June climatology shows average highs near 38–40°C, yet recent observations note scattered thunderstorm activity across Uttar Pradesh that frequently caps temperatures 1–3°C below dry-season peaks. Short-range forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact timing of any convection, keeping the distribution tight around the historical mean while assigning low probability to extremes above 40°C or below 36°C. Updated IMD bulletins and next model cycles will be the key inputs shifting these implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 15 de junio?
38°C 36%
37°C 19%
39°C 19%
36°C 9%
$14,331 Vol.
$14,331 Vol.
34°C o menos
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
19%
38°C
36%
39°C
19%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 19%
39°C 19%
36°C 9%
$14,331 Vol.
$14,331 Vol.
34°C o menos
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
19%
38°C
36%
39°C
19%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 37–39°C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum because current model runs and India Meteorological Department guidance indicate a mix of strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies offset by possible early showers or moisture incursion that could limit peak values. June climatology shows average highs near 38–40°C, yet recent observations note scattered thunderstorm activity across Uttar Pradesh that frequently caps temperatures 1–3°C below dry-season peaks. Short-range forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact timing of any convection, keeping the distribution tight around the historical mean while assigning low probability to extremes above 40°C or below 36°C. Updated IMD bulletins and next model cycles will be the key inputs shifting these implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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