Recent Met Office and European model runs converge on a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on June 14, driven by persistent Atlantic high pressure, moderate northwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits insolation. This aligns with post-May cooling after the record 35.1°C heatwave, placing the day near or slightly above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk for 22°C or higher absent rapid clearance, while overnight minima and boundary-layer mixing further cap peaks. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, with the 86.5% implied probability on 21°C reflecting limited model spread and stable synoptic conditions ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 14 de junio?
21°C 87%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$153,078 Vol.
$153,078 Vol.
14 jun 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
87%
22°C
12%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 87%
22°C 12%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$153,078 Vol.
$153,078 Vol.
14 jun 2026
17°C or below
$27,138 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,912 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20,559 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$27,947 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$23,477 Vol.
87%
22°C
$17,069 Vol.
12%
23°C
$20,788 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10,283 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,178 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$701 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs converge on a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on June 14, driven by persistent Atlantic high pressure, moderate northwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits insolation. This aligns with post-May cooling after the record 35.1°C heatwave, placing the day near or slightly above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk for 22°C or higher absent rapid clearance, while overnight minima and boundary-layer mixing further cap peaks. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, with the 86.5% implied probability on 21°C reflecting limited model spread and stable synoptic conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$153,078Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs converge on a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on June 14, driven by persistent Atlantic high pressure, moderate northwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits insolation. This aligns with post-May cooling after the record 35.1°C heatwave, placing the day near or slightly above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk for 22°C or higher absent rapid clearance, while overnight minima and boundary-layer mixing further cap peaks. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, with the 86.5% implied probability on 21°C reflecting limited model spread and stable synoptic conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$153,078Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs converge on a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on June 14, driven by persistent Atlantic high pressure, moderate northwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that limits insolation. This aligns with post-May cooling after the record 35.1°C heatwave, placing the day near or slightly above the June climatological average of 19–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk for 22°C or higher absent rapid clearance, while overnight minima and boundary-layer mixing further cap peaks. Traders have priced this consensus heavily, with the 86.5% implied probability on 21°C reflecting limited model spread and stable synoptic conditions ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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