Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's close clustering around these outcomes and slight edge to 29°C. This reflects typical mid-June conditions slightly above the long-term average high of 25–27°C, driven by regional high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing stronger daytime heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the Sea of Marmara, and model resolution of local topography, which introduce the observed spread rather than larger synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
27%
29°C
35%
30°C
21%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
26°C or below
$192 Vol.
4%
27°C
$382 Vol.
7%
28°C
$89 Vol.
27%
29°C
$266 Vol.
35%
30°C
$541 Vol.
21%
31°C
$503 Vol.
9%
32°C
$908 Vol.
1%
33°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's close clustering around these outcomes and slight edge to 29°C. This reflects typical mid-June conditions slightly above the long-term average high of 25–27°C, driven by regional high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing stronger daytime heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the Sea of Marmara, and model resolution of local topography, which introduce the observed spread rather than larger synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$4,520Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's close clustering around these outcomes and slight edge to 29°C. This reflects typical mid-June conditions slightly above the long-term average high of 25–27°C, driven by regional high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing stronger daytime heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the Sea of Marmara, and model resolution of local topography, which introduce the observed spread rather than larger synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,520Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely reach 28–30°C, aligning with the market's close clustering around these outcomes and slight edge to 29°C. This reflects typical mid-June conditions slightly above the long-term average high of 25–27°C, driven by regional high pressure and limited cloud cover allowing stronger daytime heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns from the Sea of Marmara, and model resolution of local topography, which introduce the observed spread rather than larger synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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