**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 28–29 °C because an active southwest monsoon and a low-pressure trough are forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms tomorrow.** Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicates daytime highs of 26–29 °C under these conditions, with rain suppressing solar heating and keeping surface temperatures below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Sea-breeze circulation and steering flow add minor uncertainty to peak timing but reinforce the cooler, unsettled regime. Seasonal outlooks still call for above-normal June–August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern overrides that signal for this specific day. The resulting market distribution—highest implied probability at 29 °C (41.5 %) followed by 28 °C (31.5 %) and 30 °C (19.5 %)—reflects traders’ assessment that heavy rain will cap the daily maximum while leaving room for modest variability around the 28–29 °C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 32%
30°C 20%
31°C 5.6%
NUEVO
$19,976 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,976 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
32%
29°C
43%
30°C
20%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 32%
30°C 20%
31°C 5.6%
NUEVO
$19,976 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,976 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,040 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,785 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,032 Vol.
32%
29°C
$3,087 Vol.
43%
30°C
$2,391 Vol.
20%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,315 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 28–29 °C because an active southwest monsoon and a low-pressure trough are forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms tomorrow.**
Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicates daytime highs of 26–29 °C under these conditions, with rain suppressing solar heating and keeping surface temperatures below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Sea-breeze circulation and steering flow add minor uncertainty to peak timing but reinforce the cooler, unsettled regime.
Seasonal outlooks still call for above-normal June–August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern overrides that signal for this specific day. The resulting market distribution—highest implied probability at 29 °C (41.5 %) followed by 28 °C (31.5 %) and 30 °C (19.5 %)—reflects traders’ assessment that heavy rain will cap the daily maximum while leaving room for modest variability around the 28–29 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$19,976Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 28–29 °C because an active southwest monsoon and a low-pressure trough are forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms tomorrow.**
Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicates daytime highs of 26–29 °C under these conditions, with rain suppressing solar heating and keeping surface temperatures below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Sea-breeze circulation and steering flow add minor uncertainty to peak timing but reinforce the cooler, unsettled regime.
Seasonal outlooks still call for above-normal June–August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern overrides that signal for this specific day. The resulting market distribution—highest implied probability at 29 °C (41.5 %) followed by 28 °C (31.5 %) and 30 °C (19.5 %)—reflects traders’ assessment that heavy rain will cap the daily maximum while leaving room for modest variability around the 28–29 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,976Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 28–29 °C because an active southwest monsoon and a low-pressure trough are forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and thunderstorms tomorrow.** Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicates daytime highs of 26–29 °C under these conditions, with rain suppressing solar heating and keeping surface temperatures below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Sea-breeze circulation and steering flow add minor uncertainty to peak timing but reinforce the cooler, unsettled regime. Seasonal outlooks still call for above-normal June–August temperatures overall, yet the immediate synoptic pattern overrides that signal for this specific day. The resulting market distribution—highest implied probability at 29 °C (41.5 %) followed by 28 °C (31.5 %) and 30 °C (19.5 %)—reflects traders’ assessment that heavy rain will cap the daily maximum while leaving room for modest variability around the 28–29 °C range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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