Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a subtropical ridge building over the Yangtze basin, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain tight because limited moisture advection and modest afternoon convection could shave or add 1°C depending on exact timing of any showers. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 29–30°C, so current guidance reflects warmer-than-average conditions driven by persistent high pressure; traders weigh these model outputs against potential boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects when pricing the narrow gap between the 31°C and 32°C contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
$13,314 Vol.
$13,314 Vol.
28°C or below
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
$13,314 Vol.
$13,314 Vol.
28°C or below
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a subtropical ridge building over the Yangtze basin, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads remain tight because limited moisture advection and modest afternoon convection could shave or add 1°C depending on exact timing of any showers. Historical June climatology shows typical highs of 29–30°C, so current guidance reflects warmer-than-average conditions driven by persistent high pressure; traders weigh these model outputs against potential boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects when pricing the narrow gap between the 31°C and 32°C contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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