Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a breezy, humid Wednesday with scattered to severe thunderstorms developing later in the day, introducing uncertainty around peak heating as cloud cover and precipitation timing could suppress the daily maximum. Ensemble model spreads reflect this variability, with surface observations and steering patterns favoring mid-80s readings over stronger warm advection that might otherwise push toward 90°F. Historical June climatology for Chicago shows average highs near 79°F, providing context for the current setup, while traders weigh the risk of convective inhibition versus clear-sky insolation in the hours before any storms arrive. Updated short-range model runs and real-time mesonet data expected through tonight will further refine these temperature envelopes ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 11 de junio?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 14.4%
75°F o menos
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 14.4%
75°F o menos
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a breezy, humid Wednesday with scattered to severe thunderstorms developing later in the day, introducing uncertainty around peak heating as cloud cover and precipitation timing could suppress the daily maximum. Ensemble model spreads reflect this variability, with surface observations and steering patterns favoring mid-80s readings over stronger warm advection that might otherwise push toward 90°F. Historical June climatology for Chicago shows average highs near 79°F, providing context for the current setup, while traders weigh the risk of convective inhibition versus clear-sky insolation in the hours before any storms arrive. Updated short-range model runs and real-time mesonet data expected through tonight will further refine these temperature envelopes ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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