Current ensemble numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 33–36°C for Chengdu on June 6, aligning with early-summer East Asian monsoon climatology that typically produces average highs of 28–33°C. This consensus drives the tight market-implied odds between 34°C (25.5%), 35°C (21.5%), and 36°C (21.5%), with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as cloud cover timing, clearing skies that could allow brief spikes above 35°C, localized urban heat effects, and minor steering pattern variations. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections through updated model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 6?
34°C 26%
35°C 24%
36°C 22%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
14%
34°C
26%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 26%
35°C 24%
36°C 22%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
29°C or below
$46 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$299 Vol.
1%
31°C
$60 Vol.
2%
32°C
$196 Vol.
7%
33°C
$273 Vol.
14%
34°C
$102 Vol.
26%
35°C
$94 Vol.
24%
36°C
$76 Vol.
22%
37°C
$218 Vol.
11%
38°C
$242 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 33–36°C for Chengdu on June 6, aligning with early-summer East Asian monsoon climatology that typically produces average highs of 28–33°C. This consensus drives the tight market-implied odds between 34°C (25.5%), 35°C (21.5%), and 36°C (21.5%), with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as cloud cover timing, clearing skies that could allow brief spikes above 35°C, localized urban heat effects, and minor steering pattern variations. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections through updated model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volumen
$1,600Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 33–36°C for Chengdu on June 6, aligning with early-summer East Asian monsoon climatology that typically produces average highs of 28–33°C. This consensus drives the tight market-implied odds between 34°C (25.5%), 35°C (21.5%), and 36°C (21.5%), with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as cloud cover timing, clearing skies that could allow brief spikes above 35°C, localized urban heat effects, and minor steering pattern variations. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections through updated model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,600Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble numerical weather prediction models converge on a daily maximum of 33–36°C for Chengdu on June 6, aligning with early-summer East Asian monsoon climatology that typically produces average highs of 28–33°C. This consensus drives the tight market-implied odds between 34°C (25.5%), 35°C (21.5%), and 36°C (21.5%), with differentiation hinging on subtle factors such as cloud cover timing, clearing skies that could allow brief spikes above 35°C, localized urban heat effects, and minor steering pattern variations. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections through updated model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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