Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models point to partly cloudy, cool winter conditions over Cape Town on June 16, with daytime maximum temperatures most likely stabilizing near 18–19 °C under moderate Atlantic high-pressure influence and light onshore flow. This narrow range aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover around 17–18 °C amid typical seasonal cooling and occasional isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 38 % and 35 % implied probabilities for 19 °C and 18 °C captures the genuine uncertainty in exact peak readings, which hinge on variables such as cloud-break timing, wind shifts, or weak frontal passages that could nudge values a degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 38%
18°C 35%
20°C 14%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
35%
19°C
38%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
18°C 35%
20°C 14%
17°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
35%
19°C
38%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models point to partly cloudy, cool winter conditions over Cape Town on June 16, with daytime maximum temperatures most likely stabilizing near 18–19 °C under moderate Atlantic high-pressure influence and light onshore flow. This narrow range aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover around 17–18 °C amid typical seasonal cooling and occasional isolated showers. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 38 % and 35 % implied probabilities for 19 °C and 18 °C captures the genuine uncertainty in exact peak readings, which hinge on variables such as cloud-break timing, wind shifts, or weak frontal passages that could nudge values a degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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