Recent ensemble model guidance from global and regional systems indicates a Beijing high near 29–30°C on June 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible scattered showers, which moderate daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific setup underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where 29°C leads at 33.5% and 30°C at 24.5%, while 28°C and 31°C capture residual spread from timing uncertainties in cloud cover and precipitation. June climatology near 30°C provides baseline context, yet variability in insolation and steering patterns sustains the narrow distribution ahead of official verification by the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
$30,371 Vol.
$30,371 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble model guidance from global and regional systems indicates a Beijing high near 29–30°C on June 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly flow and possible scattered showers, which moderate daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific setup underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where 29°C leads at 33.5% and 30°C at 24.5%, while 28°C and 31°C capture residual spread from timing uncertainties in cloud cover and precipitation. June climatology near 30°C provides baseline context, yet variability in insolation and steering patterns sustains the narrow distribution ahead of official verification by the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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