National Weather Service forecasts and local model guidance currently favor a daily high in the low to mid-90s for Austin on June 11, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes. Recent soil moisture from spring rains and a steering pattern lacking strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme heat buildup, keeping temperatures near the June climatological average of 93°F. Minor differences among leading bins hinge on afternoon cloud cover, timing of any scattered showers, and exact wind speeds that influence mixing and peak readings. Updated model runs and the National Weather Service’s evening briefing tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 11?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 29%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and local model guidance currently favor a daily high in the low to mid-90s for Austin on June 11, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes. Recent soil moisture from spring rains and a steering pattern lacking strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme heat buildup, keeping temperatures near the June climatological average of 93°F. Minor differences among leading bins hinge on afternoon cloud cover, timing of any scattered showers, and exact wind speeds that influence mixing and peak readings. Updated model runs and the National Weather Service’s evening briefing tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before the market resolves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes