Georgia's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+12 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 86% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP dominance including Barry Loudermilk's 66%-32% win in 2024 amid 61% support for Donald Trump. The incumbent's February retirement opened the seat, but the May 19 primaries feature a crowded, well-funded Republican field—led by neurosurgeon John Cowan with $1.7 million raised—vastly outpacing Democrats Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, who hold under $50,000 combined cash on hand as of late March. Absent recent polls or shifts, structural advantages position the GOP nominee as heavy favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
GA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
14%
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+12 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 86% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP dominance including Barry Loudermilk's 66%-32% win in 2024 amid 61% support for Donald Trump. The incumbent's February retirement opened the seat, but the May 19 primaries feature a crowded, well-funded Republican field—led by neurosurgeon John Cowan with $1.7 million raised—vastly outpacing Democrats Chris Harden and Barry Wolfert, who hold under $50,000 combined cash on hand as of late March. Absent recent polls or shifts, structural advantages position the GOP nominee as heavy favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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