Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts despite robust Q1 2026 results showing $3.6 billion net income and net worth nearing $74 billion. FHFA Director Pulte's recent comments target conservatorship exit in 12-18 months—well beyond the deadline—while Wedbush analysts yesterday cited ongoing delays in regulatory pathway and Treasury coordination on senior preferred stock restructuring. President Trump's May 1 remarks expressing interest in privatization offered no firm timeline, reinforcing uncertainty amid capital compliance hurdles projected into 2027. Lower bins like 150-200B at 9.7% reflect speculative valuation if an unlikely rushed offering materializes pre-midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 89.7%
150–200 mil millones 9.7%
200–250 mil millones 5.4%
<150 mil millones 1.8%
$197,097 Vol.
$197,097 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<150 mil millones
2%
150–200 mil millones
10%
200–250 mil millones
5%
250–300B
1%
300 mil millones o más
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
90%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 89.7%
150–200 mil millones 9.7%
200–250 mil millones 5.4%
<150 mil millones 1.8%
$197,097 Vol.
$197,097 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<150 mil millones
$81,636 Vol.
2%
150–200 mil millones
$31,521 Vol.
10%
200–250 mil millones
$19,677 Vol.
5%
250–300B
$6,412 Vol.
1%
300 mil millones o más
$11,420 Vol.
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$46,430 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts despite robust Q1 2026 results showing $3.6 billion net income and net worth nearing $74 billion. FHFA Director Pulte's recent comments target conservatorship exit in 12-18 months—well beyond the deadline—while Wedbush analysts yesterday cited ongoing delays in regulatory pathway and Treasury coordination on senior preferred stock restructuring. President Trump's May 1 remarks expressing interest in privatization offered no firm timeline, reinforcing uncertainty amid capital compliance hurdles projected into 2027. Lower bins like 150-200B at 9.7% reflect speculative valuation if an unlikely rushed offering materializes pre-midterms.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$197,097Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts despite robust Q1 2026 results showing $3.6 billion net income and net worth nearing $74 billion. FHFA Director Pulte's recent comments target conservatorship exit in 12-18 months—well beyond the deadline—while Wedbush analysts yesterday cited ongoing delays in regulatory pathway and Treasury coordination on senior preferred stock restructuring. President Trump's May 1 remarks expressing interest in privatization offered no firm timeline, reinforcing uncertainty amid capital compliance hurdles projected into 2027. Lower bins like 150-200B at 9.7% reflect speculative valuation if an unlikely rushed offering materializes pre-midterms.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$197,097Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled recapitalization efforts despite robust Q1 2026 results showing $3.6 billion net income and net worth nearing $74 billion. FHFA Director Pulte's recent comments target conservatorship exit in 12-18 months—well beyond the deadline—while Wedbush analysts yesterday cited ongoing delays in regulatory pathway and Treasury coordination on senior preferred stock restructuring. President Trump's May 1 remarks expressing interest in privatization offered no firm timeline, reinforcing uncertainty amid capital compliance hurdles projected into 2027. Lower bins like 150-200B at 9.7% reflect speculative valuation if an unlikely rushed offering materializes pre-midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes