The latest CDC FluView report for week 17 (ending May 2, 2026) shows a preliminary cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—positioning the 85–90 outcome as trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability. With national flu activity now low (weekly rate of 0.2 per 100,000) amid stable influenza B detections and declining percent positivity (3.1%), FluSight forecasts just 0.31 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for the coming period, suggesting minimal week 18 additions. Tight odds reflect FluSurv-NET reporting lags, where preliminary data often revises upward as more hospitals submit lab-confirmed cases; downward adjustments or stagnant trends could favor <80 or 80–85 bins. The next FluView update next Thursday will clarify week 18 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 95%
90–95 3.5%
<80 2.3%
80–85 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
<80
2%
80–85
1%
85–90
95%
90–95
3%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 95%
90–95 3.5%
<80 2.3%
80–85 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 may 2026
<80
$150 Vol.
2%
80–85
$48 Vol.
1%
85–90
$230 Vol.
95%
90–95
$343 Vol.
3%
95–100
$48 Vol.
1%
100+
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The latest CDC FluView report for week 17 (ending May 2, 2026) shows a preliminary cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—positioning the 85–90 outcome as trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability. With national flu activity now low (weekly rate of 0.2 per 100,000) amid stable influenza B detections and declining percent positivity (3.1%), FluSight forecasts just 0.31 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for the coming period, suggesting minimal week 18 additions. Tight odds reflect FluSurv-NET reporting lags, where preliminary data often revises upward as more hospitals submit lab-confirmed cases; downward adjustments or stagnant trends could favor <80 or 80–85 bins. The next FluView update next Thursday will clarify week 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volumen
$873Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The latest CDC FluView report for week 17 (ending May 2, 2026) shows a preliminary cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—positioning the 85–90 outcome as trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability. With national flu activity now low (weekly rate of 0.2 per 100,000) amid stable influenza B detections and declining percent positivity (3.1%), FluSight forecasts just 0.31 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for the coming period, suggesting minimal week 18 additions. Tight odds reflect FluSurv-NET reporting lags, where preliminary data often revises upward as more hospitals submit lab-confirmed cases; downward adjustments or stagnant trends could favor <80 or 80–85 bins. The next FluView update next Thursday will clarify week 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$873Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest CDC FluView report for week 17 (ending May 2, 2026) shows a preliminary cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population—the third highest since the 2010–2011 season—positioning the 85–90 outcome as trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability. With national flu activity now low (weekly rate of 0.2 per 100,000) amid stable influenza B detections and declining percent positivity (3.1%), FluSight forecasts just 0.31 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for the coming period, suggesting minimal week 18 additions. Tight odds reflect FluSurv-NET reporting lags, where preliminary data often revises upward as more hospitals submit lab-confirmed cases; downward adjustments or stagnant trends could favor <80 or 80–85 bins. The next FluView update next Thursday will clarify week 18 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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