Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 83.5% implied probability for Florida's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart's entrenched position as dean of Florida's delegation and top Republican on the Appropriations Committee, coupled with his landslide reelections in 2024 (70.9%) and 2022 amid the district's R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The April 29 passage of a new DeSantis-proposed congressional map by GOP-majority legislature further bolsters Republican-leaning districts statewide, targeting a 24-4 advantage, while FL-26 remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report ratings. Diaz-Balart faces no GOP primary challengers post-April 24 filing deadline, contrasting weak Democratic primary contenders Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin ahead of the August 18 primaries; statewide Democratic special election gains offer limited traction here.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-26 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-26 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$36,416 Vol.
$36,416 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$36,416 Vol.
$36,416 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,419 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$20,997 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 83.5% implied probability for Florida's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart's entrenched position as dean of Florida's delegation and top Republican on the Appropriations Committee, coupled with his landslide reelections in 2024 (70.9%) and 2022 amid the district's R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The April 29 passage of a new DeSantis-proposed congressional map by GOP-majority legislature further bolsters Republican-leaning districts statewide, targeting a 24-4 advantage, while FL-26 remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report ratings. Diaz-Balart faces no GOP primary challengers post-April 24 filing deadline, contrasting weak Democratic primary contenders Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin ahead of the August 18 primaries; statewide Democratic special election gains offer limited traction here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$36,416Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 83.5% implied probability for Florida's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart's entrenched position as dean of Florida's delegation and top Republican on the Appropriations Committee, coupled with his landslide reelections in 2024 (70.9%) and 2022 amid the district's R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The April 29 passage of a new DeSantis-proposed congressional map by GOP-majority legislature further bolsters Republican-leaning districts statewide, targeting a 24-4 advantage, while FL-26 remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report ratings. Diaz-Balart faces no GOP primary challengers post-April 24 filing deadline, contrasting weak Democratic primary contenders Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin ahead of the August 18 primaries; statewide Democratic special election gains offer limited traction here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,416Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 83.5% implied probability for Florida's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart's entrenched position as dean of Florida's delegation and top Republican on the Appropriations Committee, coupled with his landslide reelections in 2024 (70.9%) and 2022 amid the district's R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The April 29 passage of a new DeSantis-proposed congressional map by GOP-majority legislature further bolsters Republican-leaning districts statewide, targeting a 24-4 advantage, while FL-26 remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report ratings. Diaz-Balart faces no GOP primary challengers post-April 24 filing deadline, contrasting weak Democratic primary contenders Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin ahead of the August 18 primaries; statewide Democratic special election gains offer limited traction here.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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