Trader consensus places the highest probabilities on Elon Musk posting 760–919 times in July 2026, with the top buckets clustered between 7.0% and 8.4%. These levels align with his established baseline of roughly 20–30 original posts and replies per day, observed consistently across recent months amid routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and X platform matters. The broad distribution across dozens of outcomes stems from high month-to-month variance tied to unpredictable catalysts such as product launches, regulatory developments, or high-profile statements. Key differentiators among leading ranges include the pace of daily engagement and whether external events prompt sustained activity spikes, while lower-probability tails reflect scenarios of reduced output during travel or focused operational periods. No fixed calendar items currently anchor expectations for the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
800-839 8.5%
840-879 7.0%
760-799 7.0%
880-919 6.7%
$154,991 Vol.
$154,991 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-639
4%
640-679
3%
680-719
6%
720-759
5%
760-799
7%
800-839
8%
840-879
7%
880-919
7%
920-959
7%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
2%
1200-1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
2%
1320-1359
2%
1360-1399
1%
1400+
6%
800-839 8.5%
840-879 7.0%
760-799 7.0%
880-919 6.7%
$154,991 Vol.
$154,991 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-639
4%
640-679
3%
680-719
6%
720-759
5%
760-799
7%
800-839
8%
840-879
7%
880-919
7%
920-959
7%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
2%
1200-1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
2%
1320-1359
2%
1360-1399
1%
1400+
6%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places the highest probabilities on Elon Musk posting 760–919 times in July 2026, with the top buckets clustered between 7.0% and 8.4%. These levels align with his established baseline of roughly 20–30 original posts and replies per day, observed consistently across recent months amid routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and X platform matters. The broad distribution across dozens of outcomes stems from high month-to-month variance tied to unpredictable catalysts such as product launches, regulatory developments, or high-profile statements. Key differentiators among leading ranges include the pace of daily engagement and whether external events prompt sustained activity spikes, while lower-probability tails reflect scenarios of reduced output during travel or focused operational periods. No fixed calendar items currently anchor expectations for the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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