Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 (78.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or listing timeline following the company's confidential IPO submission in January targeting a March debut that failed to materialize. With just two months remaining, market dynamics reflect caution amid compressed SaaS multiples, secondary valuations dipping to $7-10 billion from $15 billion in 2021, and limited revenue growth to around $700-900 million annual run-rate despite 200 million monthly active users. If listing occurs, traders price a sub-$15 billion closing market cap (19.3%) as most likely, with higher brackets under 3%, signaling downround expectations; watch for any S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 79%
<15 mil millones 14.8%
15–20 mil millones 2.5%
30.000M+ 2.4%
$883,718 Vol.
$883,718 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
19%
15–20 mil millones
3%
20–25B
<1%
25–30B
1%
30.000M+
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
79%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 79%
<15 mil millones 14.8%
15–20 mil millones 2.5%
30.000M+ 2.4%
$883,718 Vol.
$883,718 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
$297,891 Vol.
19%
15–20 mil millones
$108,710 Vol.
3%
20–25B
$74,054 Vol.
<1%
25–30B
$111,516 Vol.
1%
30.000M+
$99,339 Vol.
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$192,208 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 (78.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or listing timeline following the company's confidential IPO submission in January targeting a March debut that failed to materialize. With just two months remaining, market dynamics reflect caution amid compressed SaaS multiples, secondary valuations dipping to $7-10 billion from $15 billion in 2021, and limited revenue growth to around $700-900 million annual run-rate despite 200 million monthly active users. If listing occurs, traders price a sub-$15 billion closing market cap (19.3%) as most likely, with higher brackets under 3%, signaling downround expectations; watch for any S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$883,718Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 (78.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or listing timeline following the company's confidential IPO submission in January targeting a March debut that failed to materialize. With just two months remaining, market dynamics reflect caution amid compressed SaaS multiples, secondary valuations dipping to $7-10 billion from $15 billion in 2021, and limited revenue growth to around $700-900 million annual run-rate despite 200 million monthly active users. If listing occurs, traders price a sub-$15 billion closing market cap (19.3%) as most likely, with higher brackets under 3%, signaling downround expectations; watch for any S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$883,718Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026 (78.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or listing timeline following the company's confidential IPO submission in January targeting a March debut that failed to materialize. With just two months remaining, market dynamics reflect caution amid compressed SaaS multiples, secondary valuations dipping to $7-10 billion from $15 billion in 2021, and limited revenue growth to around $700-900 million annual run-rate despite 200 million monthly active users. If listing occurs, traders price a sub-$15 billion closing market cap (19.3%) as most likely, with higher brackets under 3%, signaling downround expectations; watch for any S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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