Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91% implied probability that Costco will not raise its iconic $1.50 hot dog combo price before 2027, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—and recent CFO Gary Millerchip's reaffirmation amid $740 million in absorbed revenue losses. Yesterday's announcement of a menu tweak—adding a bottled water option while keeping the price intact after 40 years—further solidified sentiment, underscoring the combo's role as a strategic loss leader subsidized by Costco's efficient supply chain and membership fees. This pricing discipline persists despite persistent food inflation, with comparable combos now costing $4–5 adjusted for 1985 dollars. Challenges could arise from executive turnover post-Vachris or acute input cost spikes eroding margins ahead of Q3 2026 earnings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
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31 dic 2026
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31 dic 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91% implied probability that Costco will not raise its iconic $1.50 hot dog combo price before 2027, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—and recent CFO Gary Millerchip's reaffirmation amid $740 million in absorbed revenue losses. Yesterday's announcement of a menu tweak—adding a bottled water option while keeping the price intact after 40 years—further solidified sentiment, underscoring the combo's role as a strategic loss leader subsidized by Costco's efficient supply chain and membership fees. This pricing discipline persists despite persistent food inflation, with comparable combos now costing $4–5 adjusted for 1985 dollars. Challenges could arise from executive turnover post-Vachris or acute input cost spikes eroding margins ahead of Q3 2026 earnings.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Volumen
$8,978Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91% implied probability that Costco will not raise its iconic $1.50 hot dog combo price before 2027, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—and recent CFO Gary Millerchip's reaffirmation amid $740 million in absorbed revenue losses. Yesterday's announcement of a menu tweak—adding a bottled water option while keeping the price intact after 40 years—further solidified sentiment, underscoring the combo's role as a strategic loss leader subsidized by Costco's efficient supply chain and membership fees. This pricing discipline persists despite persistent food inflation, with comparable combos now costing $4–5 adjusted for 1985 dollars. Challenges could arise from executive turnover post-Vachris or acute input cost spikes eroding margins ahead of Q3 2026 earnings.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$8,978Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91% implied probability that Costco will not raise its iconic $1.50 hot dog combo price before 2027, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—and recent CFO Gary Millerchip's reaffirmation amid $740 million in absorbed revenue losses. Yesterday's announcement of a menu tweak—adding a bottled water option while keeping the price intact after 40 years—further solidified sentiment, underscoring the combo's role as a strategic loss leader subsidized by Costco's efficient supply chain and membership fees. This pricing discipline persists despite persistent food inflation, with comparable combos now costing $4–5 adjusted for 1985 dollars. Challenges could arise from executive turnover post-Vachris or acute input cost spikes eroding margins ahead of Q3 2026 earnings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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