Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) remaining in office through May 31 at 84% implied probability on "No," driven by his firm public denials of misconduct allegations—including sexual harassment, stolen valor, and profiting from federal contracts—and insistence he will not resign amid a slow-moving House Ethics Committee probe. Recent April developments, such as Rep. Nancy Mace's resolution to censure and remove him from the Armed Services Committee, echo pressure seen in recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over scandals, yet GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson has shown no urgency for expulsion, which requires a two-thirds House vote. With no scheduled Ethics report or floor vote before late May, traders view near-term departure risk as low despite primary challengers eyeing his FL-7 seat in August.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
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31 may 2026
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NUEVO
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) remaining in office through May 31 at 84% implied probability on "No," driven by his firm public denials of misconduct allegations—including sexual harassment, stolen valor, and profiting from federal contracts—and insistence he will not resign amid a slow-moving House Ethics Committee probe. Recent April developments, such as Rep. Nancy Mace's resolution to censure and remove him from the Armed Services Committee, echo pressure seen in recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over scandals, yet GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson has shown no urgency for expulsion, which requires a two-thirds House vote. With no scheduled Ethics report or floor vote before late May, traders view near-term departure risk as low despite primary challengers eyeing his FL-7 seat in August.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$7,652Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) remaining in office through May 31 at 84% implied probability on "No," driven by his firm public denials of misconduct allegations—including sexual harassment, stolen valor, and profiting from federal contracts—and insistence he will not resign amid a slow-moving House Ethics Committee probe. Recent April developments, such as Rep. Nancy Mace's resolution to censure and remove him from the Armed Services Committee, echo pressure seen in recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over scandals, yet GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson has shown no urgency for expulsion, which requires a two-thirds House vote. With no scheduled Ethics report or floor vote before late May, traders view near-term departure risk as low despite primary challengers eyeing his FL-7 seat in August.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,652Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) remaining in office through May 31 at 84% implied probability on "No," driven by his firm public denials of misconduct allegations—including sexual harassment, stolen valor, and profiting from federal contracts—and insistence he will not resign amid a slow-moving House Ethics Committee probe. Recent April developments, such as Rep. Nancy Mace's resolution to censure and remove him from the Armed Services Committee, echo pressure seen in recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) over scandals, yet GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson has shown no urgency for expulsion, which requires a two-thirds House vote. With no scheduled Ethics report or floor vote before late May, traders view near-term departure risk as low despite primary challengers eyeing his FL-7 seat in August.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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