Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's April policy decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's announcement today maintaining the Bank Rate at 3.75%. This aligns with pre-meeting expectations amid March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict, which the MPC noted monetary policy cannot directly offset. Governor Bailey emphasized assessing volatility's persistence before adjustments, with an 8-1 vote underscoring caution despite upside inflation risks. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-resolution, though extraordinary data revisions or geopolitical de-escalation could theoretically prompt review; next MPC meeting is June 18.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento <1%
$628,352 Vol.
$628,352 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
No
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos
No
Sin cambios
Sí
Aumento
No
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento <1%
$628,352 Vol.
$628,352 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$90,527 Vol.
No
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos
$204,643 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$168,992 Vol.
Sí
Aumento
$164,193 Vol.
No
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's April policy decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's announcement today maintaining the Bank Rate at 3.75%. This aligns with pre-meeting expectations amid March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict, which the MPC noted monetary policy cannot directly offset. Governor Bailey emphasized assessing volatility's persistence before adjustments, with an 8-1 vote underscoring caution despite upside inflation risks. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-resolution, though extraordinary data revisions or geopolitical de-escalation could theoretically prompt review; next MPC meeting is June 18.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Volumen
$628,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's April policy decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's announcement today maintaining the Bank Rate at 3.75%. This aligns with pre-meeting expectations amid March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict, which the MPC noted monetary policy cannot directly offset. Governor Bailey emphasized assessing volatility's persistence before adjustments, with an 8-1 vote underscoring caution despite upside inflation risks. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-resolution, though extraordinary data revisions or geopolitical de-escalation could theoretically prompt review; next MPC meeting is June 18.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$628,352Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for no change in the Bank of England's April policy decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's announcement today maintaining the Bank Rate at 3.75%. This aligns with pre-meeting expectations amid March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by elevated energy prices from the Iran conflict, which the MPC noted monetary policy cannot directly offset. Governor Bailey emphasized assessing volatility's persistence before adjustments, with an 8-1 vote underscoring caution despite upside inflation risks. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-resolution, though extraordinary data revisions or geopolitical de-escalation could theoretically prompt review; next MPC meeting is June 18.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes