Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% due to the complete absence of any secession-related bills or resolutions advancing in US state legislatures, with no introductions reported in the past 30 days amid ongoing regular sessions in most states concluding by June. The Supreme Court's 1869 Texas v. White ruling established that unilateral secession requires constitutional amendment, rendering such votes legally futile and politically toxic for lawmakers facing reelection pressures. Fringe movements like Texit advocate referendums rather than direct legislative votes, lacking momentum or bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented federal overreach or national crisis prompting cross-state coordination, though no such catalysts exist before the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Alguna legislatura estatal de EE. UU. vota sobre la secesión antes del 30 de junio de 2026?
¿Alguna legislatura estatal de EE. UU. vota sobre la secesión antes del 30 de junio de 2026?
Sí
$25,111 Vol.
$25,111 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$25,111 Vol.
$25,111 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% due to the complete absence of any secession-related bills or resolutions advancing in US state legislatures, with no introductions reported in the past 30 days amid ongoing regular sessions in most states concluding by June. The Supreme Court's 1869 Texas v. White ruling established that unilateral secession requires constitutional amendment, rendering such votes legally futile and politically toxic for lawmakers facing reelection pressures. Fringe movements like Texit advocate referendums rather than direct legislative votes, lacking momentum or bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented federal overreach or national crisis prompting cross-state coordination, though no such catalysts exist before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
Volumen
$25,111Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% due to the complete absence of any secession-related bills or resolutions advancing in US state legislatures, with no introductions reported in the past 30 days amid ongoing regular sessions in most states concluding by June. The Supreme Court's 1869 Texas v. White ruling established that unilateral secession requires constitutional amendment, rendering such votes legally futile and politically toxic for lawmakers facing reelection pressures. Fringe movements like Texit advocate referendums rather than direct legislative votes, lacking momentum or bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented federal overreach or national crisis prompting cross-state coordination, though no such catalysts exist before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution.
Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$25,111Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 8, 2025, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% due to the complete absence of any secession-related bills or resolutions advancing in US state legislatures, with no introductions reported in the past 30 days amid ongoing regular sessions in most states concluding by June. The Supreme Court's 1869 Texas v. White ruling established that unilateral secession requires constitutional amendment, rendering such votes legally futile and politically toxic for lawmakers facing reelection pressures. Fringe movements like Texit advocate referendums rather than direct legislative votes, lacking momentum or bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented federal overreach or national crisis prompting cross-state coordination, though no such catalysts exist before the June 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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