Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on May 19, 2026, with recent polls showing Rep. Barry Moore edging Attorney General Steve Marshall and newcomer Jared Hudson amid high undecideds and President Trump's endorsement boosting Moore. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% to prevail in the November 3 general election, reflecting Alabama's deep-red status—Trump's 30-point 2024 win and historical GOP dominance in Senate races—positioning the primary winner as a prohibitive favorite against any Democratic nominee. Upsets would require a major GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or anomalous turnout surge, though structural barriers like incumbency advantages and low Democratic baseline support render these improbable. A June 16 runoff looms if no primary majority emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,233 Vol.
$10,233 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
5%
$10,233 Vol.
$10,233 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$6,415 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$3,819 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on May 19, 2026, with recent polls showing Rep. Barry Moore edging Attorney General Steve Marshall and newcomer Jared Hudson amid high undecideds and President Trump's endorsement boosting Moore. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% to prevail in the November 3 general election, reflecting Alabama's deep-red status—Trump's 30-point 2024 win and historical GOP dominance in Senate races—positioning the primary winner as a prohibitive favorite against any Democratic nominee. Upsets would require a major GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or anomalous turnout surge, though structural barriers like incumbency advantages and low Democratic baseline support render these improbable. A June 16 runoff looms if no primary majority emerges.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$10,233Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on May 19, 2026, with recent polls showing Rep. Barry Moore edging Attorney General Steve Marshall and newcomer Jared Hudson amid high undecideds and President Trump's endorsement boosting Moore. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% to prevail in the November 3 general election, reflecting Alabama's deep-red status—Trump's 30-point 2024 win and historical GOP dominance in Senate races—positioning the primary winner as a prohibitive favorite against any Democratic nominee. Upsets would require a major GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or anomalous turnout surge, though structural barriers like incumbency advantages and low Democratic baseline support render these improbable. A June 16 runoff looms if no primary majority emerges.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,233Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on May 19, 2026, with recent polls showing Rep. Barry Moore edging Attorney General Steve Marshall and newcomer Jared Hudson amid high undecideds and President Trump's endorsement boosting Moore. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 94.5% to prevail in the November 3 general election, reflecting Alabama's deep-red status—Trump's 30-point 2024 win and historical GOP dominance in Senate races—positioning the primary winner as a prohibitive favorite against any Democratic nominee. Upsets would require a major GOP scandal, nominee health crisis, or anomalous turnout surge, though structural barriers like incumbency advantages and low Democratic baseline support render these improbable. A June 16 runoff looms if no primary majority emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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