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Running predictions & odds

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Strava IPO Closing Market Cap

Strava IPO Closing Market Cap

22%

7B–10B

$85.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

57%

7

$73.3K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

29%

24–27

$31.5K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

10%

28–31

$55.4K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

49%

Candace Owens

$618K Vol.

$601K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

7%

$52.4K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

71%

0

$4.5K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

43%

2

$4.5K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$80.1K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

10%

$15.3K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

82%

Gabriel Attal

$787 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 12 months

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

46%

7-9

$41.4K Vol.

$960 Liq.

1

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

49%

7-9

$1.7K Vol.

$533 Liq.

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

90%

Man on Fire: Season 1

$32.4K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

90%

Unchosen

$3.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

55%

Man on Fire: Season 1

$2.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

47%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$637 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

120

Ends in about 2 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

S&P 500

$39.9K Vol.

$162K Liq.

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 133 active markets for Running that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strava IPO Closing Market Cap”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Running predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.