Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 French Open favorite reflects his reclaimed world No. 1 status and dominant clay-court form, highlighted by his Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 title win over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—his first major clay crown—and a 28-2 season record, including a straight-sets quarter-final victory over Rafael Jodar in ongoing Madrid. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury six days ago, following his Monte Carlo final loss, has cleared the path significantly. Alexander Zverev at 7.5% benefits from strong clay results like his Madrid quarter-final run after beating Jakub Mensik, while Novak Djokovic's 5.7% trails amid inconsistent early-season form and historical clay challenges. French hopefuls Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti draw minor support from home-crowd momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.6%
Arthur Fils 4.3%
$22,690,165 Vol.
$22,690,165 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Arthur Fils
4%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Rafael Jodar
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Jannik Sinner 67%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Novak Djokovic 5.6%
Arthur Fils 4.3%
$22,690,165 Vol.
$22,690,165 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
67%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Arthur Fils
4%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Rafael Jodar
3%
Casper Ruud
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alex De Minaur
<1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Learner Tien
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's overwhelming 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 French Open favorite reflects his reclaimed world No. 1 status and dominant clay-court form, highlighted by his Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 title win over Carlos Alcaraz two weeks ago—his first major clay crown—and a 28-2 season record, including a straight-sets quarter-final victory over Rafael Jodar in ongoing Madrid. Alcaraz's withdrawal from Roland Garros due to a right wrist injury six days ago, following his Monte Carlo final loss, has cleared the path significantly. Alexander Zverev at 7.5% benefits from strong clay results like his Madrid quarter-final run after beating Jakub Mensik, while Novak Djokovic's 5.7% trails amid inconsistent early-season form and historical clay challenges. French hopefuls Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti draw minor support from home-crowd momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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