Kimi Antonelli's commanding lead in the 2026 drivers' standings, with multiple victories including a dominant Monaco Grand Prix performance, has driven the implied probability for the Mercedes driver to 59.6%. The Italian teenager's consistency amid the season's major regulatory overhaul—featuring lighter cars, revised power units, and active aerodynamics—has positioned Mercedes ahead of rivals, outpacing teammate George Russell, who trails by a widening gap after recent setbacks. Hamilton's strong but distant second place at Ferrari reflects solid results without matching Antonelli's pace, while Verstappen, Norris, and Piastri sit further back amid Red Bull and McLaren adaptation challenges. Recent form, points margins, and the remaining calendar continue shaping trader consensus around these outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKimi Antonelli 59.5%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.3%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$173,944,495 Vol.
$173,944,495 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
60%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 59.5%
George Russell 18%
Lewis Hamilton 12.3%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$173,944,495 Vol.
$173,944,495 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
60%
George Russell
18%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
3%
Max Verstappen
2%
Lando Norris
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's commanding lead in the 2026 drivers' standings, with multiple victories including a dominant Monaco Grand Prix performance, has driven the implied probability for the Mercedes driver to 59.6%. The Italian teenager's consistency amid the season's major regulatory overhaul—featuring lighter cars, revised power units, and active aerodynamics—has positioned Mercedes ahead of rivals, outpacing teammate George Russell, who trails by a widening gap after recent setbacks. Hamilton's strong but distant second place at Ferrari reflects solid results without matching Antonelli's pace, while Verstappen, Norris, and Piastri sit further back amid Red Bull and McLaren adaptation challenges. Recent form, points margins, and the remaining calendar continue shaping trader consensus around these outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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