Trader consensus prices a 62.5% implied probability on Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, driven by recent U.S.-China diplomatic signaling including President Trump's confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed from April by the U.S.-Iran war—and reciprocal invitations for Xi's late-2026 Washington trip. Intelligence reports from late April indicate tentative December planning around the G20 Leaders' Summit in Miami, building on Trump's January statements and their October 2025 Busan meeting. Ongoing trade chief talks and Taiwan tensions ahead of the summit sustain optimism for high-level bilateral diplomacy, though Middle East distractions and tariff disputes introduce uncertainty, keeping odds below certainty despite historical summit precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
$89,916 Vol.
$89,916 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$89,916 Vol.
$89,916 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 62.5% implied probability on Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, driven by recent U.S.-China diplomatic signaling including President Trump's confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed from April by the U.S.-Iran war—and reciprocal invitations for Xi's late-2026 Washington trip. Intelligence reports from late April indicate tentative December planning around the G20 Leaders' Summit in Miami, building on Trump's January statements and their October 2025 Busan meeting. Ongoing trade chief talks and Taiwan tensions ahead of the summit sustain optimism for high-level bilateral diplomacy, though Middle East distractions and tariff disputes introduce uncertainty, keeping odds below certainty despite historical summit precedents.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volume
$89,916End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a 62.5% implied probability on Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, driven by recent U.S.-China diplomatic signaling including President Trump's confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed from April by the U.S.-Iran war—and reciprocal invitations for Xi's late-2026 Washington trip. Intelligence reports from late April indicate tentative December planning around the G20 Leaders' Summit in Miami, building on Trump's January statements and their October 2025 Busan meeting. Ongoing trade chief talks and Taiwan tensions ahead of the summit sustain optimism for high-level bilateral diplomacy, though Middle East distractions and tariff disputes introduce uncertainty, keeping odds below certainty despite historical summit precedents.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$89,916End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 62.5% implied probability on Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the United States before 2027, driven by recent U.S.-China diplomatic signaling including President Trump's confirmed May 14-15 Beijing summit—delayed from April by the U.S.-Iran war—and reciprocal invitations for Xi's late-2026 Washington trip. Intelligence reports from late April indicate tentative December planning around the G20 Leaders' Summit in Miami, building on Trump's January statements and their October 2025 Busan meeting. Ongoing trade chief talks and Taiwan tensions ahead of the summit sustain optimism for high-level bilateral diplomacy, though Middle East distractions and tariff disputes introduce uncertainty, keeping odds below certainty despite historical summit precedents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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