Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on absolute political loyalty continue to drive removals across the People’s Liberation Army and civilian leadership. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year purge that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023 and reduced the CMC to just Xi and one other member. Additional probes, including the April 2026 case involving Politburo-level official Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach beyond the military. Traders focus on patterns of factional challenges and preparations ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, where further personnel shifts could occur to install compliant successors amid ongoing discipline inspections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$172,562 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Li Xi
8%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Zhao Leji
6%
Wang Huning
12%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
$172,562 Vol.
Dong Jun
$35,353 Vol.
9%
Li Xi
$25,863 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$22,771 Vol.
6%
Wang Yi
$12,880 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$7,525 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$10,806 Vol.
12%
Ding Xuexiang
$14,818 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,999 Vol.
4%
Cai Qi
$36,547 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on absolute political loyalty continue to drive removals across the People’s Liberation Army and civilian leadership. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year purge that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023 and reduced the CMC to just Xi and one other member. Additional probes, including the April 2026 case involving Politburo-level official Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach beyond the military. Traders focus on patterns of factional challenges and preparations ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, where further personnel shifts could occur to install compliant successors amid ongoing discipline inspections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$172,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on absolute political loyalty continue to drive removals across the People’s Liberation Army and civilian leadership. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year purge that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023 and reduced the CMC to just Xi and one other member. Additional probes, including the April 2026 case involving Politburo-level official Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach beyond the military. Traders focus on patterns of factional challenges and preparations ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, where further personnel shifts could occur to install compliant successors amid ongoing discipline inspections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$172,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on absolute political loyalty continue to drive removals across the People’s Liberation Army and civilian leadership. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending a multi-year purge that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2023 and reduced the CMC to just Xi and one other member. Additional probes, including the April 2026 case involving Politburo-level official Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach beyond the military. Traders focus on patterns of factional challenges and preparations ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, where further personnel shifts could occur to install compliant successors amid ongoing discipline inspections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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