Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40-43% daily implied probability for President Trump unleashing his signature fist-pump "YMCA" sway—now a viral pop culture staple—in May 2026, with May 8 and 9 leading at 43% each amid low-volume trading. This reflects his track record of Yes resolutions at high-energy rallies like the April 17 Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" event and White House Easter Egg Roll, yielding massive payouts such as one $11-to-$9,000 windfall, contrasted by No outcomes at formal affairs like the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner. Key catalysts include the PGA Tour Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral on May 2-3, where golf crowd energy could trigger the routine, though resolution demands verifiable public video of deliberate rhythmic moves within each ET day. Social media buzz and meme-driven bets amplify volatility in this unpredictable celebrity moment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMay 1
43%
May 2
28%
May 3
26%
May 4
42%
May 5
42%
May 6
41%
May 7
41%
May 8
43%
May 9
43%
May 10
41%
May 11
41%
May 12
41%
May 13
41%
May 14
41%
May 15
43%
May 16
42%
May 17
42%
May 18
41%
May 19
41%
May 20
41%
May 21
41%
May 22
41%
May 23
41%
May 24
41%
May 25
41%
May 26
41%
May 27
41%
May 28
41%
May 29
41%
May 30
41%
May 31
41%
$7,975 Vol.
May 1
43%
May 2
28%
May 3
26%
May 4
42%
May 5
42%
May 6
41%
May 7
41%
May 8
43%
May 9
43%
May 10
41%
May 11
41%
May 12
41%
May 13
41%
May 14
41%
May 15
43%
May 16
42%
May 17
42%
May 18
41%
May 19
41%
May 20
41%
May 21
41%
May 22
41%
May 23
41%
May 24
41%
May 25
41%
May 26
41%
May 27
41%
May 28
41%
May 29
41%
May 30
41%
May 31
41%
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a roughly 40-43% daily implied probability for President Trump unleashing his signature fist-pump "YMCA" sway—now a viral pop culture staple—in May 2026, with May 8 and 9 leading at 43% each amid low-volume trading. This reflects his track record of Yes resolutions at high-energy rallies like the April 17 Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" event and White House Easter Egg Roll, yielding massive payouts such as one $11-to-$9,000 windfall, contrasted by No outcomes at formal affairs like the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner. Key catalysts include the PGA Tour Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral on May 2-3, where golf crowd energy could trigger the routine, though resolution demands verifiable public video of deliberate rhythmic moves within each ET day. Social media buzz and meme-driven bets amplify volatility in this unpredictable celebrity moment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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