Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

icon for Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

22% chance
Polymarket

$15,266 Vol.

22% chance
Polymarket

$15,266 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no corporate tax rate cut before 2027, reflecting the absence of any active legislation or congressional momentum following the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which extended individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions and enhanced business deductions like qualified business income but left the statutory corporate rate at 21 percent. Recent GOP infighting, including the early April Department of Homeland Security funding shutdown resolved via continuing resolution, underscores procedural hurdles and spending restraint priorities in Trump's FY2027 budget proposing 10 percent non-defense cuts. With tariffs generating revenue and midterms looming in November 2026, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or floor votes advancing a further reduction amid deficit concerns and narrow Senate margins.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$15,266
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no corporate tax rate cut before 2027, reflecting the absence of any active legislation or congressional momentum following the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which extended individual Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions and enhanced business deductions like qualified business income but left the statutory corporate rate at 21 percent. Recent GOP infighting, including the early April Department of Homeland Security funding shutdown resolved via continuing resolution, underscores procedural hurdles and spending restraint priorities in Trump's FY2027 budget proposing 10 percent non-defense cuts. With tariffs generating revenue and midterms looming in November 2026, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or floor votes advancing a further reduction amid deficit concerns and narrow Senate margins.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$15,266
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 22% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 22¢, the market collectively assigns a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" is 22% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.