Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an implied 92.2% probability to "No" for Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pros without any built-in 5G or LTE modem, confirming no near-term integration. Credible supply chain reports and analyst insights, including Mark Gurman's April notes on memory shortages delaying redesigns, point to a major MacBook Pro overhaul—potentially branded MacBook Ultra with Apple's C2 modem, OLED touchscreen, and thinner chassis—slipping to late 2026 or early 2027. WWDC in early June remains software-focused historically, with no leaks signaling hardware surprises. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented pre-order announcement at WWDC or accelerated modem testing yielding a rushed June ship, though Apple's conservative product timelines make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an implied 92.2% probability to "No" for Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pros without any built-in 5G or LTE modem, confirming no near-term integration. Credible supply chain reports and analyst insights, including Mark Gurman's April notes on memory shortages delaying redesigns, point to a major MacBook Pro overhaul—potentially branded MacBook Ultra with Apple's C2 modem, OLED touchscreen, and thinner chassis—slipping to late 2026 or early 2027. WWDC in early June remains software-focused historically, with no leaks signaling hardware surprises. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented pre-order announcement at WWDC or accelerated modem testing yielding a rushed June ship, though Apple's conservative product timelines make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,649End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an implied 92.2% probability to "No" for Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pros without any built-in 5G or LTE modem, confirming no near-term integration. Credible supply chain reports and analyst insights, including Mark Gurman's April notes on memory shortages delaying redesigns, point to a major MacBook Pro overhaul—potentially branded MacBook Ultra with Apple's C2 modem, OLED touchscreen, and thinner chassis—slipping to late 2026 or early 2027. WWDC in early June remains software-focused historically, with no leaks signaling hardware surprises. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented pre-order announcement at WWDC or accelerated modem testing yielding a rushed June ship, though Apple's conservative product timelines make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,649End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an implied 92.2% probability to "No" for Apple releasing a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pros without any built-in 5G or LTE modem, confirming no near-term integration. Credible supply chain reports and analyst insights, including Mark Gurman's April notes on memory shortages delaying redesigns, point to a major MacBook Pro overhaul—potentially branded MacBook Ultra with Apple's C2 modem, OLED touchscreen, and thinner chassis—slipping to late 2026 or early 2027. WWDC in early June remains software-focused historically, with no leaks signaling hardware surprises. Realistic challenges include an unprecedented pre-order announcement at WWDC or accelerated modem testing yielding a rushed June ship, though Apple's conservative product timelines make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions