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Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

icon for Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling 57%

Glenn Youngkin 10%

Andrew Puzder 6.8%

Vince Micone 5.4%

Polymarket

$38,503 Vol.

Keith Sonderling 57%

Glenn Youngkin 10%

Andrew Puzder 6.8%

Vince Micone 5.4%

Polymarket

$38,503 Vol.

Keith Sonderling

$20,150 Vol.

57%

Glenn Youngkin

$320 Vol.

10%

Andrew Puzder

$10,537 Vol.

7%

Vince Micone

$207 Vol.

5%

None in 2026

$483 Vol.

5%

Jonathan Berry

$834 Vol.

5%

Patrick Pizzella

$1,189 Vol.

3%

Johnny C. Taylor Jr.

$710 Vol.

1%

Sean O'Brien

$380 Vol.

12%

Bryan Slater

$1,688 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Williams

$2,006 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's resignation on April 20 amid abuse-of-power allegations created an immediate vacancy, elevating Deputy Secretary Keith Sonderling to acting secretary and positioning him as trader consensus frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability. Sonderling, a former EEOC commissioner and Senate-confirmed deputy since 2025, enjoys business community backing and can serve indefinitely without confirmation, aligning with historical patterns where acting officials often secure permanent roles. Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin trails at 10% amid speculation despite White House frustrations over state redistricting losses, while Teamsters President Sean O'Brien's 9.8% reflects his prior Trump endorsements. Senate confirmation hearings loom as the key next step for any nominee.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,503
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's resignation on April 20 amid abuse-of-power allegations created an immediate vacancy, elevating Deputy Secretary Keith Sonderling to acting secretary and positioning him as trader consensus frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability. Sonderling, a former EEOC commissioner and Senate-confirmed deputy since 2025, enjoys business community backing and can serve indefinitely without confirmation, aligning with historical patterns where acting officials often secure permanent roles. Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin trails at 10% amid speculation despite White House frustrations over state redistricting losses, while Teamsters President Sean O'Brien's 9.8% reflects his prior Trump endorsements. Senate confirmation hearings loom as the key next step for any nominee.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.

Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,503
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keith Sonderling" at 57%, followed by "Sean O'Brien" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" has generated $38.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" is "Keith Sonderling" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean O'Brien" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.