Trader consensus favors inner-circle figures like Patrick Mahomes (93% implied probability) and Jack Antonoff (89%) attending Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding, driven by their close ties—Mahomes as Kelce's Chiefs teammate and best friend, Antonoff as Swift's longtime producer—bolstered by April 9 reports of save-the-dates sent for a July 3, 2026, New York City ceremony after scrapping Rhode Island plans for a larger venue. Brittany Mahomes sits at 71%, while broader celebrities like Blake Lively lag at 18%, highlighting skepticism on expansive guest lists amid unconfirmed tabloid details since their August 2025 engagement. With no official announcement and resolution hinging on evidence by year-end, traders eye potential date shifts or album conflicts as key risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
$252,757 Vol.
Patrick Mahomes
87%
Alana Haim
86%
Brittany Mahomes
82%
Jack Antonoff
89%
Danielle Haim
75%
Phoebe Bridgers
56%
Sabrina Carpenter
74%
Este Haim
73%
Max Martin
68%
Blake Lively
20%
Andrew Tate
6%
Jared Goff
43%
Gracie Abrams
52%
Selena Gomez
53%
Lana Del Rey
49%
$252,757 Vol.
Patrick Mahomes
87%
Alana Haim
86%
Brittany Mahomes
82%
Jack Antonoff
89%
Danielle Haim
75%
Phoebe Bridgers
56%
Sabrina Carpenter
74%
Este Haim
73%
Max Martin
68%
Blake Lively
20%
Andrew Tate
6%
Jared Goff
43%
Gracie Abrams
52%
Selena Gomez
53%
Lana Del Rey
49%
If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors inner-circle figures like Patrick Mahomes (93% implied probability) and Jack Antonoff (89%) attending Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding, driven by their close ties—Mahomes as Kelce's Chiefs teammate and best friend, Antonoff as Swift's longtime producer—bolstered by April 9 reports of save-the-dates sent for a July 3, 2026, New York City ceremony after scrapping Rhode Island plans for a larger venue. Brittany Mahomes sits at 71%, while broader celebrities like Blake Lively lag at 18%, highlighting skepticism on expansive guest lists amid unconfirmed tabloid details since their August 2025 engagement. With no official announcement and resolution hinging on evidence by year-end, traders eye potential date shifts or album conflicts as key risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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