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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Swapped 36%

The Proposal 27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 27%

Polymarket
NEW

Swapped 36%

The Proposal 27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 27%

Polymarket
NEW

Swapped

$11 Vol.

36%

The Proposal

$0 Vol.

27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$0 Vol.

27%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$0 Vol.

27%

180

$110 Vol.

26%

Thrash

$0 Vol.

25%

Roommates

$0 Vol.

24%

Apex

$0 Vol.

24%

Den of Thieves

$120 Vol.

24%

Bugonia

$421 Vol.

20%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus slightly favors Swapped at 35% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's global movies chart this week, driven by anticipation for its May 1 animated family comedy debut starring Michael B. Jordan and featuring Sesame Street cross-promo buzz that could spark a mid-week surge past holdovers. Incumbent 180 clings to recent #2 positioning with 17.5 million views last week (4/20-26), but daily rankings show Thrash rising to #3 amid shark thriller appeal, while Roommates endures at #3 overall on 12-day top 10 stamina. The Proposal benefits from evergreen romcom nostalgia, Ari Shaffer: Jew draws controversy-fueled documentary curiosity, and Miraculous animated entry targets kids' streaming; key differentiators include genre breadth, release timing before Sunday chart lock, and weekend family viewership potential versus action fatigue for 180 and Thrash. With Apex locked at #1 (38.2M views), final metrics through May 3 will hinge on these trajectories.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$662
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus slightly favors Swapped at 35% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's global movies chart this week, driven by anticipation for its May 1 animated family comedy debut starring Michael B. Jordan and featuring Sesame Street cross-promo buzz that could spark a mid-week surge past holdovers. Incumbent 180 clings to recent #2 positioning with 17.5 million views last week (4/20-26), but daily rankings show Thrash rising to #3 amid shark thriller appeal, while Roommates endures at #3 overall on 12-day top 10 stamina. The Proposal benefits from evergreen romcom nostalgia, Ari Shaffer: Jew draws controversy-fueled documentary curiosity, and Miraculous animated entry targets kids' streaming; key differentiators include genre breadth, release timing before Sunday chart lock, and weekend family viewership potential versus action fatigue for 180 and Thrash. With Apex locked at #1 (38.2M views), final metrics through May 3 will hinge on these trajectories.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$662
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swapped" at 36%, followed by "The Proposal" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "Swapped" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Proposal" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.