Trader consensus slightly favors Swapped at 35% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's global movies chart this week, driven by anticipation for its May 1 animated family comedy debut starring Michael B. Jordan and featuring Sesame Street cross-promo buzz that could spark a mid-week surge past holdovers. Incumbent 180 clings to recent #2 positioning with 17.5 million views last week (4/20-26), but daily rankings show Thrash rising to #3 amid shark thriller appeal, while Roommates endures at #3 overall on 12-day top 10 stamina. The Proposal benefits from evergreen romcom nostalgia, Ari Shaffer: Jew draws controversy-fueled documentary curiosity, and Miraculous animated entry targets kids' streaming; key differentiators include genre breadth, release timing before Sunday chart lock, and weekend family viewership potential versus action fatigue for 180 and Thrash. With Apex locked at #1 (38.2M views), final metrics through May 3 will hinge on these trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Swapped 36%
The Proposal 27%
Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%
Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 27%
Swapped
36%
The Proposal
27%
Ari Shaffer: Jew
27%
Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir
27%
180
26%
Thrash
25%
Roommates
24%
Apex
24%
Den of Thieves
24%
Bugonia
20%
Swapped 36%
The Proposal 27%
Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%
Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 27%
Swapped
36%
The Proposal
27%
Ari Shaffer: Jew
27%
Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir
27%
180
26%
Thrash
25%
Roommates
24%
Apex
24%
Den of Thieves
24%
Bugonia
20%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Swapped at 35% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's global movies chart this week, driven by anticipation for its May 1 animated family comedy debut starring Michael B. Jordan and featuring Sesame Street cross-promo buzz that could spark a mid-week surge past holdovers. Incumbent 180 clings to recent #2 positioning with 17.5 million views last week (4/20-26), but daily rankings show Thrash rising to #3 amid shark thriller appeal, while Roommates endures at #3 overall on 12-day top 10 stamina. The Proposal benefits from evergreen romcom nostalgia, Ari Shaffer: Jew draws controversy-fueled documentary curiosity, and Miraculous animated entry targets kids' streaming; key differentiators include genre breadth, release timing before Sunday chart lock, and weekend family viewership potential versus action fatigue for 180 and Thrash. With Apex locked at #1 (38.2M views), final metrics through May 3 will hinge on these trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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