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icon for The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

icon for The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

The Devil Wears Prada 2

4% chance
Polymarket

$49,310 Vol.

The Devil Wears Prada 2

4% chance
Polymarket

$49,310 Vol.

This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. Trader consensus gives the Michael Jackson biopic "Michael" a commanding 94.5% implied probability of topping The Devil Wears Prada 2's opening weekend domestic box office, anchored by its record-breaking $97 million debut last weekend—the largest ever for a music biopic. Fueled by fervent fan turnout, IMAX demand, and global appeal despite middling reviews, it far exceeded pre-release tracking of $50-60 million. The Devil Wears Prada 2, banking on nostalgia with Meryl Streep's Miranda Priestly return and Emily Blunt, tracks for a solid $75-85 million per Variety and Deadline estimates from strong presales among female audiences. Realistic upset scenarios include unexpected walkups pushing Prada past $100 million amid light competition, though such overperformance is rare for legacy sequels. Final tallies lock post-May 1 weekend.

This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend.

This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend.

If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$49,310
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. Trader consensus gives the Michael Jackson biopic "Michael" a commanding 94.5% implied probability of topping The Devil Wears Prada 2's opening weekend domestic box office, anchored by its record-breaking $97 million debut last weekend—the largest ever for a music biopic. Fueled by fervent fan turnout, IMAX demand, and global appeal despite middling reviews, it far exceeded pre-release tracking of $50-60 million. The Devil Wears Prada 2, banking on nostalgia with Meryl Streep's Miranda Priestly return and Emily Blunt, tracks for a solid $75-85 million per Variety and Deadline estimates from strong presales among female audiences. Realistic upset scenarios include unexpected walkups pushing Prada past $100 million amid light competition, though such overperformance is rare for legacy sequels. Final tallies lock post-May 1 weekend.

This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend.

This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend.

If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$49,310
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "The Devil Wears Prada 2" if the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Michael" if the domestic gross for Michael on its opening weekend is greater than the domestic gross for The Devil Wears Prada 2 on its opening weekend. If the figures for both opening weekends are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If either film fails to be released by May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekends for each movie are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" is "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.