OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro set a FrontierMath record on April 28, scoring 52% on Tiers 1-3—undergraduate to postdoc math problems vetted by experts—and 40% on research-level Tier 4, solving two previously unsolved problems by mathematicians Hailong Dao and Ahsan Khan. This incremental gain from GPT-5.4's 50%/38% in March underscores OpenAI's compute-intensive chain-of-thought refinements, maintaining dominance over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 (23% Tier 4) and others amid bending scaling laws. Trader consensus prices 60%+ on Tiers 1-3 at 68% implied probability by June 30, driven by rapid iteration history, but risks include evaluation saturation and delays in GPT-6 previews or safety-aligned releases; monitor Epoch AI leaderboard and OpenAI announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$31,421 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$31,421 Vol.
60%+
$22,411 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro set a FrontierMath record on April 28, scoring 52% on Tiers 1-3—undergraduate to postdoc math problems vetted by experts—and 40% on research-level Tier 4, solving two previously unsolved problems by mathematicians Hailong Dao and Ahsan Khan. This incremental gain from GPT-5.4's 50%/38% in March underscores OpenAI's compute-intensive chain-of-thought refinements, maintaining dominance over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 (23% Tier 4) and others amid bending scaling laws. Trader consensus prices 60%+ on Tiers 1-3 at 68% implied probability by June 30, driven by rapid iteration history, but risks include evaluation saturation and delays in GPT-6 previews or safety-aligned releases; monitor Epoch AI leaderboard and OpenAI announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$31,421End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro set a FrontierMath record on April 28, scoring 52% on Tiers 1-3—undergraduate to postdoc math problems vetted by experts—and 40% on research-level Tier 4, solving two previously unsolved problems by mathematicians Hailong Dao and Ahsan Khan. This incremental gain from GPT-5.4's 50%/38% in March underscores OpenAI's compute-intensive chain-of-thought refinements, maintaining dominance over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 (23% Tier 4) and others amid bending scaling laws. Trader consensus prices 60%+ on Tiers 1-3 at 68% implied probability by June 30, driven by rapid iteration history, but risks include evaluation saturation and delays in GPT-6 previews or safety-aligned releases; monitor Epoch AI leaderboard and OpenAI announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,421End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro set a FrontierMath record on April 28, scoring 52% on Tiers 1-3—undergraduate to postdoc math problems vetted by experts—and 40% on research-level Tier 4, solving two previously unsolved problems by mathematicians Hailong Dao and Ahsan Khan. This incremental gain from GPT-5.4's 50%/38% in March underscores OpenAI's compute-intensive chain-of-thought refinements, maintaining dominance over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 (23% Tier 4) and others amid bending scaling laws. Trader consensus prices 60%+ on Tiers 1-3 at 68% implied probability by June 30, driven by rapid iteration history, but risks include evaluation saturation and delays in GPT-6 previews or safety-aligned releases; monitor Epoch AI leaderboard and OpenAI announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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