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Politics·Culture

Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?

icon for Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?
Politics·Culture

Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?

17-17.5m 49%

16.5-17m 49%

17.5-18m 49%

<16.5m 36%

Polymarket
NEW

17-17.5m 49%

16.5-17m 49%

17.5-18m 49%

<16.5m 36%

Polymarket
NEW

<16.5m

$42 Vol.

36%

16.5-17m

$6 Vol.

49%

17-17.5m

$6 Vol.

49%

17.5-18m

$6 Vol.

49%

18-18.5m

$51 Vol.

2%

>18.5m

$53 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Through April 29, TSA checkpoint screening numbers totaled 7.82 million travelers for April 27-29, setting the week on pace for 16.5-18 million overall with daily volumes averaging 2.6 million on April 27, dipping to 2.02 million on April 28, and rebounding to 2.26 million on April 29. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty over the remaining Thursday through Sunday, where weekend surges historically lift averages above 2.5 million, balanced against recent year-over-year declines of 4-6% and steady post-spring break trends. April 30 data release, weather patterns, or flight disruptions could separate the frontrunners, while sustained 2.2-2.4 million daily throughput favors the mid-range buckets.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive).

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$162
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Through April 29, TSA checkpoint screening numbers totaled 7.82 million travelers for April 27-29, setting the week on pace for 16.5-18 million overall with daily volumes averaging 2.6 million on April 27, dipping to 2.02 million on April 28, and rebounding to 2.26 million on April 29. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty over the remaining Thursday through Sunday, where weekend surges historically lift averages above 2.5 million, balanced against recent year-over-year declines of 4-6% and steady post-spring break trends. April 30 data release, weather patterns, or flight disruptions could separate the frontrunners, while sustained 2.2-2.4 million daily throughput favors the mid-range buckets.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive).

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$162
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 27, 2026 and May 3, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "16.5-17m" at 49%, followed by "17-17.5m" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?" is "16.5-17m" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17-17.5m" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA passengers April 27 - May 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.