Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, making Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon the strong market favourite to finish second. The contest follows the May resignation of the sitting Labour MP to allow Burnham's selection by the party's national executive. Kenyon's campaign has focused on immigration and local issues, while generic ballot polling without candidate names shows Reform ahead. Minor candidates from the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats and smaller parties register low single digits, limiting their prospects for runner-up status. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among 2024 Labour voters and any late shifts in the final days of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRobert Kenyon 74%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 3.1%
John Skipworth <1%
$149,556 Vol.
$149,556 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
74%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
John Skipworth
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 74%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 3.1%
John Skipworth <1%
$149,556 Vol.
$149,556 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$5,494 Vol.
74%
Andy Burnham
$4,221 Vol.
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$135,404 Vol.
3%
John Skipworth
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 Vol.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, making Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon the strong market favourite to finish second. The contest follows the May resignation of the sitting Labour MP to allow Burnham's selection by the party's national executive. Kenyon's campaign has focused on immigration and local issues, while generic ballot polling without candidate names shows Reform ahead. Minor candidates from the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats and smaller parties register low single digits, limiting their prospects for runner-up status. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among 2024 Labour voters and any late shifts in the final days of campaigning.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$149,556End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, making Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon the strong market favourite to finish second. The contest follows the May resignation of the sitting Labour MP to allow Burnham's selection by the party's national executive. Kenyon's campaign has focused on immigration and local issues, while generic ballot polling without candidate names shows Reform ahead. Minor candidates from the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats and smaller parties register low single digits, limiting their prospects for runner-up status. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among 2024 Labour voters and any late shifts in the final days of campaigning.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$149,556End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, making Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon the strong market favourite to finish second. The contest follows the May resignation of the sitting Labour MP to allow Burnham's selection by the party's national executive. Kenyon's campaign has focused on immigration and local issues, while generic ballot polling without candidate names shows Reform ahead. Minor candidates from the Conservatives, Greens, Liberal Democrats and smaller parties register low single digits, limiting their prospects for runner-up status. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among 2024 Labour voters and any late shifts in the final days of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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