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Finance·IPOs

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

icon for In which month will SpaceX IPO?
Finance·IPOs

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

June 68%

August 16.1%

July 8.5%

No IPO before 2027 6.3%

Polymarket

$331,730 Vol.

June 68%

August 16.1%

July 8.5%

No IPO before 2027 6.3%

Polymarket

$331,730 Vol.

May

$61,223 Vol.

1%

June

$105,986 Vol.

68%

July

$17,540 Vol.

9%

August

$8,999 Vol.

16%

September

$9,313 Vol.

3%

October

$8,742 Vol.

<1%

November

$10,230 Vol.

1%

December

$5,759 Vol.

3%

No IPO before 2027

$13,265 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 and a pivotal April 6 virtual banker meeting led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen. That session detailed a potential $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—rivaling the largest IPOs ever—with 30% retail allocation, late-May prospectus release, June 8 roadshow kickoff, and June 11 retail event; lead underwriters include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. August at 15.9% reflects slippage risks from SEC review timelines or market volatility, while July's 8.5% accounts for acceleration scenarios and "No IPO before 2027" at 6.3% hedges execution delays amid Starlink revenue growth funding capex. Watch prospectus publication and FOMC rate signals for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".

Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.

Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$331,730
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67.5% implied probability for a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 and a pivotal April 6 virtual banker meeting led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen. That session detailed a potential $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—rivaling the largest IPOs ever—with 30% retail allocation, late-May prospectus release, June 8 roadshow kickoff, and June 11 retail event; lead underwriters include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. August at 15.9% reflects slippage risks from SEC review timelines or market volatility, while July's 8.5% accounts for acceleration scenarios and "No IPO before 2027" at 6.3% hedges execution delays amid Starlink revenue growth funding capex. Watch prospectus publication and FOMC rate signals for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".

Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.

Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volume
$331,730
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"In which month will SpaceX IPO?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June" at 68%, followed by "August" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" has generated $331.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "In which month will SpaceX IPO?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" is "June" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.